Tim's research aims to understand how biodiversity is changing in response to recent environmental change, and to predict how biodiversity will change in future. He is also interested in the consequences of biodiversity change for human societies. To address these questions, Tim's work mostly entails advanced data analysis and the development of large-scale models of biodiversity and ecosystems.
Work
University College, London
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Professor of Conservation Ecology
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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University College London
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Principal Research Fellow (Associate Professor)
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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University College London
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Senior research fellow (Royal Society University Research Fellow)
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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University College London
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Postdoctoral research associate
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre
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Postdoctoral research associate
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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Education
University of Nottingham
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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PhD
University of Nottingham
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
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BSc (Hons) Zoology
Publications
One Hundred Priority Questions for the Development of Sustainable Food Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa
Land
journal-article
Species life-history strategies affect population responses to temperature and land-cover changes
Global Change Biology
journal-article
Expert perspectives on global biodiversity loss and its drivers and impacts on people
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
journal-article
Development of climate tipping damage metric for life-cycle assessment—the influence of increased warming from the tipping
The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment
journal-article
Do not downplay biodiversity loss
Nature
journal-article
Intensive human land uses negatively affect vertebrate functional diversity
Ecology letters
journal-article
Land use and soil characteristics affect soil organisms differently from above-ground assemblages
BMC Ecology and Evolution
journal-article
Limited temporal response of Cerrado mammals to anthropogenic pressure in areas under distinct levels of protection
Journal of Zoology
journal-article
Prioritizing conservation in sub-Saharan African lakes based on freshwater biodiversity and algal bloom metrics
Conservation Biology
journal-article
Vertebrate population trends are influenced by interactions between land use, climatic position, habitat loss and climate change
Global change biology
journal-article
What do changing weather and climate shocks and stresses mean for the UK food system?
Environmental Research Letters
journal-article
Agriculture and climate change are reshaping insect biodiversity worldwide
Nature
journal-article
Availability and proximity of natural habitat influence cropland biodiversity in forest biomes globally
Global Ecology and Biogeography
journal-article
A review of the interactions between biodiversity, agriculture, climate change, and international trade: research and policy priorities
One Earth
journal-article
Annual changes in the Biodiversity Intactness Index in tropical and subtropical forest biomes, 2001--2012
Scientific Reports
journal-article
A research perspective towards a more complete biodiversity footprint: a report from the World Biodiversity Forum
The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment
journal-article
Biodiversity--productivity relationships are key to nature-based climate solutions
Nature Climate Change
journal-article
Global effects of land-use intensity on local pollinator biodiversity
Nature Communications
journal-article
Grand challenges in biodiversity--ecosystem functioning research in the era of science--policy platforms require explicit consideration of feedbacks
Proceedings of the Royal Society B
journal-article
Multiple measures of biodiversity change make for the strongest analyses with historical data--Reply to Guzman et al., 2021
Biological Conservation
journal-article
Towards an ecosystem model of infectious disease
Nature Ecology & Evolution
journal-article
Vertebrate responses to human land use are influenced by their proximity to climatic tolerance limits
Diversity and Distributions
journal-article
Global effects of land use on biodiversity differ among functional groups
Functional Ecology
journal-article
Non-linear changes in modelled terrestrial ecosystems subjected to perturbations
Scientific Reports
journal-article
Non-linear changes in modelled terrestrial ecosystems subjected to perturbations
Scientific RepoRtS
journal-article
Strict protected areas are essential for the conservation of larger and threatened mammals in a priority region of the Brazilian Cerrado
Biological Conservation
journal-article
Strict protected areas are essential for the conservation of larger and threatened mammals in a priority region of the Brazilian Cerrado
Biological Conservation
journal-article
Tropical and Mediterranean biodiversity is disproportionately sensitive to land-use and climate change
Nature Ecology & Evolution
journal-article
Tropical and Mediterranean biodiversity is disproportionately sensitive to land-use and climate change
Nature Ecology & Evolution
journal-article
Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy
Nature
journal-article
Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy
Nature
journal-article
Zoonotic host diversity increases in human-dominated ecosystems
Nature
journal-article
Zoonotic host diversity increases in human-dominated ecosystems
Nature
journal-article
A biodiversity target based on species extinctions
Science
journal-article
A biodiversity target based on species extinctions
Science
journal-article
Climate change contributes to widespread declines among bumble bees across continents
Science
journal-article
Climate change contributes to widespread declines among bumble bees across continents
Science
journal-article
Global effects of land use on biodiversity differ among functional groups
Functional Ecology
journal-article
Global gaps in trait data for terrestrial vertebrates
Global Ecology and Biogeography
journal-article
Human-dominated land uses favour species affiliated with more extreme climates, especially in the tropics
Ecography
journal-article
Text-analysis reveals taxonomic and geographic disparities in animal pollination literature
Ecography
journal-article
Effects of rarity form on species’ responses to land use
Conservation Biology
journal-article
Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions
Nature Sustainability
journal-article
Assessing the effects of land use on biodiversity in the world’s drylands and Mediterranean environments
Biodiversity and Conservation
journal-article
Local climatic changes affect biodiversity responses to land use: A review
Diversity and Distributions
journal-article
Assessing the effects of land use on biodiversity in the world’s drylands and Mediterranean environments
Biodiversity and Conservation
journal-article
The trouble with trade
Nature ecology & evolution
journal-article
Local climatic changes affect biodiversity responses to land use: A review
Diversity and Distributions
journal-article
Conventional land-use intensification reduces species richness and increases production: A global meta-analysis
Global change biology
journal-article
Text‐analysis reveals taxonomic and geographic disparities in animal pollination literature
Ecography
journal-article
Effects of rarity form on species’ responses to land use
Conservation Biology
journal-article
Conventional land‐use intensification reduces species richness and increases production: A global meta‐analysis
Global Change Biology
journal-article
Reply to ‘The biodiversity intactness index may underestimate losses’
Nature Ecology & Evolution
journal-article
Reply to ‘The biodiversity intactness index may underestimate losses’
Nature ecology & evolution
journal-article
Climate and land-use change homogenise terrestrial biodiversity, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and human well-being
Emerging Topics in Life Sciences
journal-article
Climate and land-use change homogenise terrestrial biodiversity, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and human well-being
Emerging Topics in Life Sciences
journal-article
Local species assemblages are influenced more by past than current dissimilarities in photosynthetic activity
Ecography
journal-article
Local species assemblages are influenced more by past than current dissimilarities in photosynthetic activity
Ecography
journal-article
Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions
Nature Sustainability
journal-article
The trouble with trade
Nature Ecology & Evolution
journal-article
Human‐dominated land uses favour species affiliated with more extreme climates, especially in the tropics
Ecography
journal-article
Modelling and Projecting the Response of Local Terrestrial Biodiversity Worldwide to Land Use and Related Pressures: The PREDICTS Project
Advances in Ecological Research
book-chapter
Widespread winners and narrow-ranged losers: Land use homogenizes biodiversity in local assemblages worldwide
PLOS Biology
journal-article
Widespread winners and narrow-ranged losers: land use homogenizes biodiversity in local assemblages worldwide
PLoS Biology
journal-article
Future effects of climate and land-use change on terrestrial vertebrate community diversity under different scenarios
Proceedings of the Royal Society B
journal-article
Future effects of climate and land-use change on terrestrial vertebrate community diversity under different scenarios.
Proceedings. Biological sciences
journal-article
Modelling and projecting the response of local terrestrial biodiversity worldwide to land use and related pressures: the PREDICTS project
Advances in Ecological Research
journal-article
Local factors mediate the response of biodiversity to land use on two African mountains
Animal Conservation
journal-article
The database of the Predicts (Projecting responses of ecological diversity in changing terrestrial systems) project
Ecology and Evolution
journal-article
Bird and bat species' global vulnerability to collision mortality at wind farms revealed through a trait-based assessment
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
journal-article
The database of the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) project
Ecology and Evolution
journal-article
The present and future effects of land use on ecological assemblages in tropical grasslands and savannas in Africa
Oikos
journal-article
The present and future effects of land use on ecological assemblages in tropical grasslands and savannas in Africa
Oikos
journal-article
Bird and bat species' global vulnerability to collision mortality at wind farms revealed through a trait-based assessment
Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences
journal-article
Land-use effects on local biodiversity in tropical forests vary between continents
Biodiversity and Conservation
journal-article
Land-use effects on local biodiversity in tropical forests vary between continents
Biodiversity and Conservation
journal-article
Local factors mediate the response of biodiversity to land use on two African mountains
Animal Conservation
journal-article
Modelling and projecting the response of local assemblage composition to land use change across Colombia
Diversity and Distributions
journal-article
Reconciling biodiversity indicators to guide understanding and action
Conservation Letters
journal-article
Reconciling Biodiversity Indicators to Guide Understanding and Action
Conservation Letters
journal-article
Synergistic impacts of habitat loss and fragmentation on model ecosystems
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
journal-article
Synergistic impacts of habitat loss and fragmentation on model ecosystems
Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences
journal-article
Global patterns of terrestrial assemblage turnover within and among land uses
Ecography
journal-article
Global patterns of terrestrial assemblage turnover within and among land uses
Ecography
journal-article
Harmonizing biodiversity conservation and productivity in the context of increasing demands on landscapes
BioScience
journal-article
Harmonizing Biodiversity Conservation and Productivity in the Context of Increasing Demands on Landscapes
Bioscience
journal-article
Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment
Science
journal-article
Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment
Science
journal-article
Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide.
Nature communications
journal-article
Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide
Nature Communications
journal-article
Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide
Nature Communications
journal-article
Modelling and projecting the response of local assemblage composition to land use change across Colombia
Diversity and Distributions
journal-article
Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes
Journal of Applied Ecology
journal-article
Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes
Journal of Applied Ecology
journal-article
Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity
Nature
journal-article
Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity
Nature
journal-article
Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution models and trait-based approaches
Biological Conservation
journal-article
Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution models and trait-based approaches
Biological Conservation
journal-article
Emergent Global Patterns of Ecosystem Structure and Function from a Mechanistic General Ecosystem Model
Plos Biology
journal-article
A framework to identify enabling and urgent actions for the 2020 Aichi Targets
Basic and Applied Ecology
journal-article
A framework to identify enabling and urgent actions for the 2020 Aichi Targets
Basic and Applied Ecology
journal-article
A global model of the response of tropical and sub-tropical forest biodiversity to anthropogenic pressures
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
journal-article
A global model of the response of tropical and sub-tropical forest biodiversity to anthropogenic pressures
Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences
journal-article
A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets
Science
journal-article
A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets
Science
journal-article
Emergent global patterns of ecosystem structure and function from a mechanistic general ecosystem model
PLoS biology
journal-article
Functional traits, land-use change and the structure of present and future bird communities in tropical forests
Global Ecology and Biogeography
journal-article
Functional traits, land-use change and the structure of present and future bird communities in tropical forests
Global Ecology and Biogeography
journal-article
Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future
Global Ecology and Biogeography
journal-article
Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future
Global Ecology and Biogeography
journal-article
The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts
Ecology and Evolution
journal-article
The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts
Ecology and Evolution
journal-article
Ecological traits affect the response of tropical forest bird species to land-use intensity
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
journal-article
Ecological traits affect the response of tropical forest bird species to land-use intensity
Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences
journal-article
Predictive systems ecology
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences
journal-article
Predictive systems ecology
Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences
journal-article
Time to model all life on Earth
Nature
journal-article
Time to model all life on Earth
Nature
journal-article
Mapping functional traits: comparing abundance and presence-absence estimates at large spatial scales
PloS one
journal-article
Mapping Functional Traits: Comparing Abundance and Presence-Absence Estimates at Large Spatial Scales
Plos One
journal-article
Applications and limitations of museum data for conservation and ecology, with particular attention to species distribution models
Progress in Physical Geography
journal-article
Applications and limitations of museum data for conservation and ecology, with particular attention to species distribution models
Progress in Physical Geography
journal-article
Testing the accuracy of species distribution models using species records from a new field survey
Oikos
journal-article
Testing the accuracy of species distribution models using species records from a new field survey
Oikos
journal-article
Climate-based models of spatial patterns of species richness in Egypt's butterfly and mammal fauna
Journal of Biogeography
journal-article
Climate-based models of spatial patterns of species richness in Egypt’s butterfly and mammal fauna
Journal of Biogeography
journal-article
Effect of characteristics of butterfly species on the accuracy of distribution models in an arid environment
Biodiversity and Conservation
journal-article
Effect of characteristics of butterfly species on the accuracy of distribution models in an arid environment
Biodiversity and Conservation
journal-article
Redescription of a weevil Paramecops sinaitus (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Molytinae) from the Sinai and an ecological study of its interaction with the Sinai milkweed Asclepias sinaica (Gentianales: Asclepiadaceae)
European Journal of Entomology
journal-article
Redescription of a weevil Paramecops sinaitus (Coleoptera : Curculionidae : Molytinae) from the Sinai and an ecological study of its interaction with the Sinai milkweed Asclepias sinaica (Gentianales : Asclepiadaceae)